Thursday: 1-2 (-1.17 units)
Season: 1-7 (-6.17 units)
Recap: CMC getting hurt helped no one, but we wish him a speedy recovery. Mooney had an interesting stat line, recording 4 catches for 20 yards and TD… ugh!
First Sunday Pick: Austin Ekeler O54.5 rushing yards at KC (-115) +104 with 20% DK profit boost
Fact #1: The Chiefs have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards to RBs through the first two weeks (260).
Fact #2: Ekeler has posted rushing totals of 57 and 54 yards, respectively this season.
Fact #3: Ekeler ran for over 90 yards in their first meeting last season.
Second Sunday Pick: Derrick Henry O102.5 rushing yards vs IND (-115) +104 with 20% DK profit boost
Fact #1: Henry’s last 3 rushing totals vs Indy: 149, 103 and 178.
Fact #2: Less you forge he ran for 182 on Seattle last week.
Third Sunday Pick: Davante Adams O86.5 receiving yards at SF (-115)
Fact #1: Adams went for 10-173-1 on this San Fran team last season.
Fact #2: Adams is also fresh off an 8-121-0 game on Monday vs Detroit.
I’m also going to sprinkle Adams anytime TD at -110 because he’s without one this season and that’s uncharacteristic as he hasn’t gone three straight games without a TD since November 2019.
Fifth and Sixth Sunday Pick: Matthew Stafford O26.5 completions vs Bucs (-120) +100 with 20% DK profit boost and Robert Woods O5.5 catches (-115)
Fact #1: These two teams clashed last season with Goff at the helm for the Rams and he went 39/51, 376 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, so using the transitive property, Stafford should be able to do that or better since he’s an upgrade from Goff.
Fact #2: Darrell Henderson is out with a rib injury today and no team has successful rushing outings vs the Bucs anyway, so McVay will be calling passing plays early and often. Last season they attempted just 20 rushes.