Last week: 4-0
Highlight the Highs: Everything went well last week, including a Tuesday night special that saw Andy Dalton go over with his completions.
Nothing to loathe when you go 4-0!
The pick: Mike Glennon O23.5 completions (-106) vs Titans
Fact #1: The Titans defense is allowing an average of 26.2 completions per game — the most in the NFL over the past 5 weeks
Fact #2: Glennon turned 31 on Saturday, so this would be a great present to himself and over suitors
Fact #3: They’ll be playing catch-up when their defense lets Mr. Henry run all over them
The pick: Kirk Cousins O22.5 completions (-118) vs the Buccaneers
Fact 1: The Bucs have allowed an average of 31.3 completions per game over the past five weeks — the most in the NFL over this span (4 games played)
Fact #2: Tompa Bay has allowed the fewest rushing yards to RBs over this same 5-week span (233; 58.3 rush yds/game). So as great as Mr. Cook is, Tompa Bay is built to slow him down.
Fact #3: Since Week 7, Teddy “2 Gloves” (18) is the only QB not to complete at least 23 passes against Tompa Bay.
The Pick: Justin Herbert O274.5 passing yards (-129) vs ATL
Fact #1: Everyone and their mother expects Herbert to bounce back after last week’s 45-0 drubbing at the hands of new England
Fact #2: Herbert has attempted 154 passes over the past 3 games, resulting in totals of 366 (vs NYJ), 316 (@ BUF) and 209 against New England last week
Fact #3: The Falcons have allowed the 9th-fewest passing yards over the past 5 weeks for two reasons:
Reason No. 1: They’ve faced Taysom Hill twice
Reason No. 2: They’ve played four games when most have played five (bye week)
Fact #4: Herbert averages 314.8 pass yards per game at home compared to 267 on the road
The Pick: David Montgomery O67.5 rushing yards (-112) vs HOU
Fact #1: Montgomery has eclipsed 70 rushing yards in three of his last four games
Fact #2: The Texans have allowed a league-high 620 rushing yards over the last five weeks