Tag: #FantasyFootball

Gridiron Tales: Week 11 Part 2

By on • ( Leave a comment )

Thursday: 1-0

Season: 6-4

TNF Recap: If you had D.K. Metcalf going in PPR fantasy, he gave you a respectable, 3-46-1, and I’m happy for you. Thankfully, those 46 yards fell well under his prop total of 79.5 receiving yards. As Hannah Montana would say, “you get the best of both worlds.”

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert appears in a news conference over video, left, on Wednesday, Nov. 18, 2020, and during NFL football training camp in August 2020. Herbert showed off his new haircut during his weekly availability on Wednesday that drew more comments and reviews on social media than the few times he has thrown an interception. Herbert shed his shaggy locks for a buzzcut. (AP Photo/Courtesy Los Angeles Chargers, left, and AP Photo, right)


The pick: Justin Herbert O277.5 passing yards vs NYJ (-118)

Fact #1: Herbert got a haircut this week, which means the man means business this week. I only get haircuts ahead of big events.

Fact #2: The Jets have allowed an average of 303.5 passing yards over the past 4 games, which includes performances from Josh Allen (307), Patrick Mahomes (416) and Cam Newton (274).

Fact #3: Herbert has totaled 278 or more passing yards in three of his last four outings (347 vs JAX, 278 at DEN, 326 vs LVR and 187 at MIA).

Julio Jones O80.5 receiving yards vs NO (-125)

Fact #1: Saints top CB Marshon Lattimore (abdominal) is out today. In 4 career games vs ATL, he has allowed 14 out of 24 targets passes in his direction to be completed (58.3%), 0 TD.

Fact # 2: Calvin Ridley (foot) returns to action, which should prevent the Saints defense from trying to zone in more on Julio.

Fact #3: Julio has eclipsed 81 or more receiving yards in three of his last four outings (137 at MIN, 97 vs DET, 137 at CAR and 54 vs DEN).


Chiefs Team Total O3.5 Touchdowns vs LVR (-121)

Fact #1: KC is averaging 34.3 points per game during their 4-game win streak.

“But James, why isn’t their win streak at 5 games?”

Because they lost 40-32 at home to the Raiders in Week 5 — their only blemish on the season. The Raiders were reportedly so impressed (and shocked) by their victory that they took a victory lap around Arrowhead, proving that there is no such thing as “act like you’ve been there before.”

Fact #2: MVP front-runner Patrick Mahomes has 10 total TD (9 pass) over the last eight quarters.

Fact #3: In games that don’t feature gross weather conditions aka the Week 8 game vs Cleveland (16-6 final), the Raiders defense is allowing an average of 31 points on the road.


Damien Harris O63.5 rushing yards vs HOU (-167)

Full disclosure: I hate talking about any props that are juiced more than -130, but this feels like a slam dunk. Also, DraftKings didn’t have Mike Davis rushing props available.

Fact #1: Sony Michel is inactive.

Fact #2: The Texans have allowed 683 rushing yards over the last five weeks — the most in the NFL over that span — and they’ve only d four games over that span.

Fact #3: Harris’s rushing totals the last 3 games: 102 at BUF, 71 at NYJ and 121 vs BAL

Gridiron Tales: Week 10 Edition Pt 2

By on • ( Leave a comment )

Season total: 4-1


Thanks to my favorite “Rivers,” Philip, we enjoyed a worry-free game as the future Hall of Famer threw the rock all night long.

Let’s move ahead to today’s slate and we’ll start with what I call “low hanging fruit.” You take these apples whenever you can get them and this week’s Tree of Life comes to us in the form of the Seahawks secondary aka the tree that keeps on giving.

Cooper Kupp O6.5 receptions (+122) and Robert Woods O5.5 receptions (-104)

Prior to their bye, Kupp totaled a career-high 20 targets and a career-high-tying 11 receptions against Miami in Week 8. Woods finished with 8 targets and 7 catches. Goff threw a whopping 61 times with only 17 points to show for it.

Fact #1: The Seahawks have allowed two receivers to catch at least 8 passes in three straight games

Fact #2: According to PFF, the Seahawks have allowed the most receiving yards to slot WRs (977). The next closest team is the Browns at 694!

Fact #3: Seattle will be without top corners Shaq Griffin and Quinton Dunbar


Emmanuel Sanders O3.5 receptions (+112)

Fact #1: This is a revenge game. Sanders signed a two-year deal with Nola after not being able to come to terms with a Niners team that traded for him last season.

Fact #2: Sanders has logged 4+ catches in four straight games

Fact #3: Sanders was quoted as saying, “I want to kick their ass, and then after the game we can hug it out.”


Nick Chubb O72.5 rush yards (-112)

Fact #1: The Texans have allowed an average of 127 rush yards per game over their last four contests

Fact #2: The forecast in Cleveland calls for a repeat of what occurred in their Week 8 clash with the Raiders that featured swirling winds and rain throughout. That means fewer throws and more runs

Fact #3: Chubb reportedly will “play until he gets tired” following a 4-game absence with an MCL sprain.


Bonus Longshot Anytime TD Scorers:

Marcedes Lewis (+600): Revenge game against his old team (Jaguars)

Eric Ebron (+180): Bengals have allowed a league-high 6 TE TDs over the last five weeks