Recap: See, what had happened was no one can predict injuries, let alone Stafford suffering an ankle injury early in the first quarter that would naturally sink his completions prop, while also ensuring that Leonard Fournette would only have to play the first half because the Bucs were on fire. We wish Matthew a speedy recovery.
But it’s a new day! Yes, it is!
The First Pick: Miles Sanders O80.5 rushing yards vs DAL (-112)
Fact #1: The Cowboys have allowed 146.2 rushing yards per game over the last 5 weeks, which is the 2nd-most yards allowed over that span.
Fact #2: The Cowboys have allowed 3 RBs (Dalvin Cook, Antonio Gibson and Gus Edwards) to each eclipse 100 yards on the ground.
Fact #3: Miles did eclipse 81 rush yards against the Saints (115), so we know he can do this with Hurts being more mobile than Wentz.
Second Pick: D.K. Metcalf U70.5 receiving yards vs LAR (-112)
Fact #1: Jalen Ramsey is on the other side of the ball.
Fact #2: The last time Ramsey was on the other side of the ball, Metcalf was held to 4 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.
Fact #3: Metcalf has posted totals of 61 (vs NYJ) and 43 (at WFT) over the past two weeks.
Third Pick: Jalen Hurts O1.5 passing TDs vs DAL (+100)
Fact #1: The only QBs not to pass for at least 2 scores against Dallas this season are Jared Goff (Week 1), Daniel Jones (Week 5), Alex Smith (Week 12) and Brandon Allen (Week 14). Yes, that means Wentz threw 2 scores on Dallas in the first meeting!
Fact #2: Hurts is coming off a 3-pass TD game against Arizona and this game could very much mirror that one for him.
Fourth Pick: Justin Herbert O24.5 completions vs DEN (-112)
Fact #1: In the first matchup, he totaled 29 back in Week 8, albeit with Keenan Allen in the lineup.
Fact #2: Mahomes (25), Bridgewater (30) and Josh Allen (28) have each completed 25+ passes on Denver’s defenses over the last 3 weeks.
Fact #3: Herbert has completed 25+ passes in three of his last 4 games.
Bonus: With many receivers down in this Browns-Jets game, I have to put a sprinkle on fellow Owl Harrison Bryant to score a TD (+300)