Last Week: 4-2
Recap: After a disappointing start with the Saturday games, DeAndre Hopkins and Rashard Higgins provided us with a 3-0 Sunday/Monday bounce back.
Today’s Pick: Matthew Stafford O23.5 completions vs TB (-112)
Fact #1: Tampa has allowed the 4th-most completions over the past five weeks (33.5 per game), despite only playing four games in this span.
Fact #2: Since Week 7, Teddy Bridgewater (18 in Week 10) is the only opposing QB that hasn’t reached at least 24 completions vs TB.
Fact #3: Stafford is averaging 25.3 completions over his last four, including 24+ in three of those contests.
Second Pick: Leonard Fournette O65.5 rushing yards vs DET (-118)
Fact #1: The Bucs are again without Ronald Jones.
Fact #2: Over the last three weeks, the Lions have allowed David Montgomery (72), Aaron Jones (69) and Derrick Henry (147) to all eclipse 65 rushing yards.
Fact #3: Fournette turned 14 rushes in 49 yards and two scores last week against a much better run defense in Atlanta, so one can reasonably assume he reaches his total against a struggling run defense.