Last week: 3-1

It felt like a possible 4-0 week was in the cards as soon as D.J. Chark caught a 70+ yd TD pass in the opening minute of last Sunday’s contest against Houston. But Sterling Shepard wasn’t able to get the yardage total we needed, despite logging six catches.

Let’s talk about tonight: Colts at Titans

Philip Rivers O23.5 pass completions (-134)

“But why, James?!”

Fact 1: Tennessee’s pass defense has not been good over the last 5 weeks:

Passing yards allowed 1,472 4th-most

Pass TDs allowed 12 T-2nd most

Completions allowed 151 Most

To quote the kids, “That’s it; that’s the (only) fact.”

With that said, Philip Rivers has completed O23.5 passes in two of his last three with those totals being 29, 23, and 25, respectively. The Titans boast the league’s 7th-highest scoring offense this season, which lends itself to believe the Colts will need to pass a lot in this one, especially given their RBBC approach.

Bonus, just for fun: Corey Davis anytime TD (+175)

I’ll be back Sunday morning to hit you with some gems for the afternoon slate.